Monday 17 July 2017

India...2019

If NDA wins in 2019 parliamentary election, it is certain that the Present Prime Minister, Sh Narendra Modi will again be sworn in as Prime Minister. What if NDA loses though as of now, chances are very unlikely, who will be the prime minister?  Possible names could be;

1, Rahul Gandhi -This posibility is very unlikely as of today, the gathbandhan parties are getting disillusioned by his capability to lead &  attract votes. Moreover, his own party men, though not expressing openly loosing the trust in him to lead. He still has to evolve a lot as a true people's leader.

2. Sonia Gandhi- Not possible due to the same reason as in 2004 when she could not become prime minister. More over Congress is very unlikely to return with a major block of MPs to be in commanding position. The Congress is also getting exposed more and more as it is sending  confusing signals to voters  with regular displays of negative politics and the legacy of major scams still haunting.

3. Nitish Kumar- He has ruled out that he could be the PM candidate of the gathbandhan. However, if he reverses his decision, which is possible in politics, his present precarious position in Bihar is closing his gaps with BJP and the gathbandhan is likely to be broken. Consequently, he may run the Bihar government with outside or inside support of BJP and would be happy to be the king of Bihar.  Otherwise also, with a view to maintain his clean image as sushan babu, he may not like to side with corrupt parties again at national level after his bitter experiment in Bihar.

4. Mulayam Singh Yadav- The SP is dividend and may return in 2019 with only fever seats.

5. Lalu Yadav- Even Bihar people may reject RJD after recent corruption charges and CBI cases. Lalu himself can't fight elections for eleven years after his conviction in chaara ghotala.

6. Mayavati- Her position will possibly be
worst than SP in U P and her chances are ruled out.

7. Mamta Bannerjee- Her position in WB is thinning out. BJP may make major inroads in WB and as such it is very less likely that she can rise to top position to dominate national politics.

8.Navin Patnaik- He has confined himself to Odisha and not visible and active at  national level.

9. Arvind Kejriwal- He has totally lost his credibility and will be rejected by people and political parties as well.

10. The biggest challenge to the gathbandhan, if it remains united, there will be strong fights for top job and infighting may continue even after installation of one of them, if they could, for the top job.  This scenario will throw a major disaster to the nation.

These are possible scenario based todays political  signals. Summarily, if everything goes well for NDA which is the clear visible picture based on the popularity of Modi today, he stands  very favourably to lead India for another five years after 2019.

However, as politics being a game of impossible making possible, any thing can happen in 2019.

India has to choose only the best course for itself.

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